- ECB To Keep Rates Unchanged As Economy Holds Up Despite Trade Strife
- China, US Reach One-Year Truce On Tariffs And Rare Earths
- Trump Says Nvidia Chip Talks With Xi Didn’t Cover Blackwell
- Lutnick Says Chip Tariffs Not Part Of Korea-US Trade Deal
- Trump Has ‘Very Nice’ Talk With Carney After Canada Rift
- Trump Tells Pentagon To Resume Testing US Nuclear Weapons
- EZ Economy Picks Up Speed as Hopes for Revival Gather Pace
- Germany’s Economy Stagnates As French Output Unexpectedly Surges
- German Unemployment Expectedly Eases In October
- Spain Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Quickens
- BoJ Stands Pat On Rates in Vote That Offers Few Hints on Hike
- OpenAI Lays Groundwork For Juggernaut IPO At Up To $1Tln Valuation
- Meta Projects Higher Expenses For 2026, Sending Shares Plummeting
- Microsoft Reports Strong Earnings As Azure Hit By Major Outage
- Alphabet Revenue Jumps 16% With Strong Cloud Sales
- Lilly Raises Guidance On Strength Of Weight Loss, Obesity Drugs
- Bristol Myers Beats Quarterly Expectations on New Drug Demand
- Comcast Slows Internet, TV Losses Amid Heavy Promotion Cycle
- Merck Beats Revenue Expectations Amid Pivot To New Drugs
- Estee Lauder Beats Quarterly Estimates On Robust Growth In Fragrances
- Novo Nordisk Bids Up To $9B For Obesity Drug Developer Metsera
- AB InBev Launches $6 Billion Buyback as Volumes Decline
- Stellantis Warning on Charges Overshadows Revenue Gain
- VW Skids Into The Red On €5Bln US Tariff Hit, Porsche Woes
- TotalEnergies Results Dip Despite Stronger Refining Margins
- Shell Profit Beats Estimates As Oil And Gas Trading Recovers
- Samsung’s Q3 Profit More Than Doubles, Beating Estimates

FRANKFURT – Euro area rate-setters are off to the Italian tourist haven Florence for this month’s monetary policy decision, and one analyst said those who monitor the European Central Bank for a living can spend their Thursday focused on something else.
“If you’ve ever thought about skipping an ECB meeting, this is the one to sit out,” wrote ING’s Carsten Brzeski, who went on to cite various reasons why this week’s meeting is a non-event.
Atop that list was a lack of new data since last month’s rate decision, giving officials almost nothing to act upon. Policymakers are still looking at September’s inflation numbers. The annual headline rate of 2.2% is unlikely to warrant action as it remains close enough to the ECB target of 2.0% over the medium term. And the initial October number is not due until Friday. Additionally, third-quarter GDP data from the Eurozone is set for release just hours ahead of the ECB decision.

October’s rate of headline consumer price growth in the euro area is forecast to move closer to the level preferred by the European Central Bank, which has probably ended its cycle of interest rate cuts, according to observers.
An economists’ poll predicted that the annual Eurozone headline inflation rate this month slipped a tenth to 2.1%, which would put it just above the ECB’s target of 2% over the medium term.
The less-volatile core rate was set to fall a tenth to 2.3% y/y, observers said.

For the second time in a row, economic activity in the euro area improved more than expected, with last quarter’s rise thanks in part to impressive showings from France and Portugal.
The EU statistics office Eurostat said seasonally adjusted Eurozone GDP expanded at a quarterly rate of 0.2% q/q in Q3. This outpaced the market expectation for a 0.1% rise, which was also the growth rate in Q2. The latest result fell far short of Q1’s 0.6%, when frontloading ahead of US tariffs turbocharged business activity.
Q3 growth in the euro area was up 1.3% from the year-earlier period. This beat the market forecast of 1.2% but undershot the 1.5% increase in Q2.
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping agreed to extend a tariff truce, roll back export controls and reduce other trade barriers in a landmark summit on Thursday, potentially stabilizing relations between the world’s biggest economies after months of turmoil.
In the first sitdown between leaders since Trump’s return to the White House, the pair agreed China would pause sweeping controls on rare-earth magnets in exchange for what Beijing said was a US agreement to roll back an expansion of restrictions on Chinese companies. The US will also halve fentanyl-related tariffs on Chinese goods, while Beijing resumes purchases of what Trump called “massive amounts” of soybeans, sorghum and other farm products.
- Eurozone Consumer Confidence Oct F: -14.2 (prev -14.2)
- Eurozone GDP SA (Q/Q) Q3 A: 0.2% (est 0.1%; prev 0.1%)
- Eurozone Unemployment Rate Sep: 6.3% (est 6.3%; prev 6.3%)
- German GDP SA (Q/Q) Q3 P: 0.0% (est 0.0%; prev -0.3%; prevR -0.2%)
- German Unemployment (000’s) Oct: -1.0K (est 8.0K; prev 14.0K; prevR 13.0K)
- German CPI Hesse (M/M) Oct: 0.3% (prev 0.2%)
- German CPI Bavaria (M/M) Oct: 0.3% (prev 0.4%)
- German CPI Brandenburg (M/M) Oct: 0.4% (prev 0.1%)
- German CPI Saxony (M/M) Oct: 0.3% (prev 0.2%)
- German CPI Baden Wuerttemberg (M/M) Oct: 0.3% (prev 0.2%)
- German CPI NRW (M/M) Oct: 0.4% (prev 0.3%)
- Italy GDP WDA (Q/Q) Q3 P: 0.0% (est 0.1%; prev -0.1%)
- Italy Unemployment Rate Sep: 6.1% (est 6.0%; prev 6.0%)
- Spain CPI (M/M) Sep P: 0.7% (est 0.5%; prev -0.3%)
- Sweden Retail Sales (M/M) Sep: 0.1% (est -0.3%; prevR 1.1%)
- Swiss KOF Leading Indicator Oct: 101.3 (est 98.4; prev 98.0)
- Trump Touts Progress On Multiple Fronts With China After Meeting Xi - Politico
- US Reduces Tariffs On China To 47%, Tariff On Fentanyl Down To 10% - CNBC
- China Agrees To 1 Yr Rare Earth Export Deal, Issue 'Settled', Says Trump - TBSNews
- Trump Says Nvidia Chip Talks With Xi Didn’t Cover Blackwell - BBG
- Lutnick Says Chip Tariffs Not Part Of Korea-US Trade Deal -Yonhap
- Trump Has ‘Very Nice’ Talk With Carney After Canada Rift - BBG
- Trump Tells Pentagon To Immediately Resume Testing US Nuclear Weapons - RTRS
- Germany’s Economy Stagnates As French Output Unexpectedly Surges - BBG
- UK Tax Speculation To Slow Homebuilding Into 2026, Survey Says - BBG
- Dutch Far-Right Party Falls In Election As Centrists Set To Win - BBG
- BOJ 'Not Behind The Curve' Says Gov. Ueda After Holding Rate – Nikkei
- Presidential Office Says Semiconductor Tariffs Part Of Deal With US - KoreanTimes
- Treasury Yields Inch Higher As Investors Weigh Fed’s Latest Rate Cut - CNBC
- UK Sell £1.5B 0.375% 2030s: B/C 2.97x (prev 3.0x); Avg Yield 3.796% (prev 0.244%)
- Italy Sell €3B 2.85% 2031s: B/C 1.59x (prev 1.80x); Avg Yield 2.75% (prev 2.76%)
- Italy Sell €4.5B 3.45% 2036s: B/C 1.47x (prev 1.71x); Avg Yield 3.46% (prev 2.76%)
- Italy Sell €1B 2031 Floaters: B/C 2.17x; Avg Yield 2.64%
- Italy Sell €1B 2032 Floaters: B/C 2.15x; Avg Yield 2.69%
- EUR/USD Rebounds Above 1.1600 After Fed-Driven Dip –- FXS
- GBP Weakens Against US Dollar On Positive Trump-Xi Trade Talks - FXS
- Ex-BOJ Governor Kuroda Sees Yen Rally Toward 120-130 Per Dollar - BBG
- Oil Falls As Investors Assess US-China Trade Truce - RTRS
- Gold Climbs 2% On Fed Rate Cut As Investors Weigh US-China Trade Talks - RTRS
- Meta Projects Higher Expenses For 2026, Sending Shares Plummeting - Yahoo
- Microsoft Reports Strong Earnings As Azure Hit By Major Outage - Guardian
- Alphabet Revenue Jumps 16% With Strong Cloud Sales - NYT
- Lilly Raises Guidance On Strength Of Weight Loss, Obesity Drugs – BBG
- Bristol Myers Beats Quarterly Expectations on New Drug Demand - BBG
- Comcast Slows Internet, TV Losses Amid Heavy Promotion Cycle - BBG
- Cardinal Health Earnings Beat By $0.36, Revenue Topped Estimates - Onv
- L3Harris Technologies Earnings Beat By $0.11, Revenue Topped Estimates - Inv
- Merck Beats Revenue Expectations Amid Pivot To New Drugs - BBG
- Biogen Cuts Profit Guidance After Deals To Bolster Pipeline - BBG
- Estee Lauder Beats Quarterly Estimates On Robust Growth In Fragrances - Yah
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- Kimberly-Clark Profit Falls, Organic Sales Rise - WSJ
- AB InBev Launches $6 Billion Buyback as Volumes Decline - BBG
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- Stellantis Warning on Charges Overshadows Revenue Gain - BBG
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- TotalEnergies Results Dip Despite Stronger Refining Margins - RTRS
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- BBVA Posts Softer Profit Despite Loan Growth Across Markets - WSJ
- ING Sweetens Profit Beat With 1.6 Billion Euros Of Shareholder Returns - RTRS
- Shell Profit Beats Estimates As Oil And Gas Trading Recovers - BBG
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- Samsung Beefs Up Advanced Chip Output, Memory Chip Sales Hit Record High - RTRS
- OpenAI Lays Groundwork For Juggernaut IPO At Up To $1 Trillion Valuation - RTRS
- Novo Nordisk Bids Up To $9B For Obesity Drug Developer Metsera - WSJ
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- CK Hutchison, Iliad Consider Tie-Up Up Of Their Italian Operations, Sources Say - RTRS