- Citigroup Economists See Chance Of Global Recession Nearing 50%
- Biden To Call On Congress Wednesday To Pass A Gas Tax Holiday
- White House Economist Remains Optimistic US Can Avoid Recession
- ECB’s De Guindos: Council Yet To Discuss Details Of The Anti-Fragmentation Tool
- ECB's Villeroy: France Should Escape Recession This Year
- UK Inflation Rises to New 40-Year High With More Gains Expected
- BoJ Debated The Weak Yen, Warned Of Harm From Excess Moves
- China Vows More Pro-Growth Policies As Banks Urged To Step Up
- US Treasury Yields Slip As Market Rebound Fades, EU Spreads Widen
- British Pound Hit Even As Headline Inflation Hits Fresh 40-Year High
- Oil Slumps By More Than $5 As Biden Expected To Cut US Fuel Cost
- IEA Chief Warns EU To Prep For Shutdown Of Russian Gas Exports
- EU Stocks Fall With US Futures On Hard-Landing Scenario Fears

The cost of living across the British Isles remained high last month but left hope that the rate of acceleration was slowing.
Annual consumer price growth rose an in-line 9.1% in May, one-tenth higher than April’s reading. On the month, CPI increased 0.7% to also match estimates but come in sharply lower than the 2.5% in April. The annual core reading of 5.9% was slightly lower than 6.0% forecast and the 6.2% in the previous month.
Office for National Statistics chief economist Grant Fitzner said, “Continued steep food price rises and record high petrol prices were offset by clothing costs rising by less than this time last year and a drop in often fluctuating computer games prices.” (Continue Reading – LiveSquawk)

The Federal Reserve will deliver another 75-basis-point interest rate hike in July, followed by a half-percentage-point rise in September, and won't scale back to quarter-percentage-point moves until November at the earliest, according to economists polled by Reuters.
Last week the Fed hiked the federal funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, its largest rate increase since 1994, after official data just a few days earlier showed inflation unexpectedly rose despite expectations it had peaked. (Continue Reading - Reuters)
The probability of the world economy succumbing to a recession is nearing 50% as central banks tighten monetary policy and demand for goods weakens, according to economists at Citigroup Inc.
Supply shocks continue to push up inflation and drive down growth, while central banks are now hiking interest rates vigorously and consumer demand for goods is softening, the economists led by Nathan Sheets said in a report on Wednesday. (Continue Reading – Bloomberg)
Companies are reviewing their hedging strategies in light of the strong U.S. dollar, which is denting the value of overseas earnings. The strength of the currency also is making some American products less competitive overseas, forcing businesses to look for ways to cut costs as they struggle to maintain margins.
The dollar in recent months has appreciated significantly against other currencies as weaker global economic growth drives investors toward safe havens. Steps by the Federal Reserve to tighten its monetary policy and increase interest rates also support the dollar. (Continue Reading – WSJ)
- US MBA Mortgage Application Jun 17: 4.2% (prev 6.6%)
- UK CPI (Y/Y) May: 9.1% (exp 9.1%; prev 9.0%)
- UK RPI (Y/Y) May: 11.7% (est 11.4%; prev 11.1%)
- UK PPI Input NSA (Y/Y) May: 22.1% (exp 19.4%; prev 18.6%; prevR 20.9%)
- UK House Price Index (Y/Y) Apr: 12.4% (prev 9.8%)
- Sweden Unemployment Rate May: 8.5% (prev 8.2%)
- Japan Machine Orders (Y/Y) May F: 23.7% (prev 23.7%)
- South Africa CPI (Y/Y) May: 6.5% (est 6.1%; prev 5.9%)
- Deutsche Bank CEO: US, Europe Recession ‘Likely’ 2H of 2023 - BBG
- Biden To Call On Congress Wednesday To Pass Gas Tax Holiday - BBG
- White House Economist Boushey Remains Optimistic US Can Avoid Recession - RTRS
- Fed's Barkin Backs 50 Or 75 Bps Rate Hike In July - RTRS
- Lawmakers Ready New Push For Bill Curbing Land-Deal Tax Breaks - WSJ
- US Rents Surge By Another Record, Led By A 41% Jump In Miami - BBG
- US Business Group Calls For 'Urgent' Taiwan Free Trade Talks - RTRS
- One Price Dodging Inflation: China-To-US Shipping Rates - WSJ
- ECB: Europe’s Economy Seen ‘Far’ From Stagflation Scenario - BBG
- ECB's Villeroy: France Should Escape Recession This Year, Inflation Still Too High - RTRS
- Support For EU Membership Highest In 15 Years, Survey Finds - RTRS
- French Minister Beaune: Against Any Alliance With Le Pen's Far Right Party - RTRS
- UK Chancellor Sunak: BoE Will 'Act Forcefully' To Stem Inflation - RTRS
- Brexit Will Cost UK Workers 470 Pounds A Year, Study Predicts - RTRS
- Brexit’s Legacy Is Hotter UK Inflation Risk For Years To Come - BBG
- In The UK, Curbing Pay Increases Now May Sting The Government Later – FT
- Swedish Finance Minister: Tougher Times Ahead For Swedish Economy - RTRS
- Swiss Q1 Current Account Surplus Widens To 19 Billion Francs – Investing.com
- BOJ Policymakers Warned Of Economic Harm From Excess Yen Moves - RTRS
- Weak Yen Becomes Weapon For Kishida Opponents In Japan Upper House Election - BBG
- Japanese PM: Talks With China Key To Regional Peace Amid Rising Tensions - SCMP
- Australia’s Economy Seen Growing Slower As Interest Rates Rise - BBG
- One In 10 Australians Trust China’s Government, Lowy Survey Says - BBG
- NZ Revenue Minister Has No Plans To Commence Work On Tax Policy - BBG
- US Treasury Yields Slip As Market Rebound Fades - CNBC
- Euro Zone Yields Fall, Spreads Widen On Declining Risk Appetite - RTRS
- Germany Sold €1.263B Of 1% 15Y Bonds At; B/C 1.6x; Avg Yield 1.91% - GFA
- Orders For New 'BTP Italia' Reach 6 Billion Euros So Far - RTRS
- Traders Return To Haven Playbook As Recession Risk Boosts Bonds - BBG
- US Bond ETF Trading Hit Record Volumes Ahead Of Fed Rate Decision - FT
- British Pound Hit Even As Headline Inflation Hits Fresh 40-Year High – Capital.com
- Upside Down World Of 'Reverse Currency Wars' Is Real - RTRS
- Russian Rouble Firms To 7-Year High Past 53 VS Dollar In Moscow Trade - RTRS
- Bitcoin Sinks Again As Risk-Off Mood Returns On Recession Fears - BBG
- Tether Plans To Launch A Stablecoin Tied To The British Pound - BBG
- Oil Slumps By More Than $5 As Biden Expected To Cut US Fuel Cost - RTRS
- Europe Resists US Push on Oil-Price Cap - BBG
- Russian Oil Is Reaching More Corners of China’s Refining Sector - BBG
- IEA Chief Warns Europe To Prepare For Total Shutdown Of Russian Gas Exports - FT
- US Futures Fear Hard-Landing Scenario - BBG
- European Stocks Resume Selloff On Sliding Commodities, Inflation Worries - RTRS
- The Big Risk To Equities Now Is Earnings, Not Valuations - FT
- Boeing Expects Supply Chain Problems To Last Through Most Of 2023 - RTRS
- Emirates Weighs New Airbus Order As Boeing Deliveries Drag Out - BBG
- Bombardier Workers Vote On Contract Offer, Threat Of Strike Looms - RTRS
- Volkswagen CEO Diess Warns Car Plants Are At Risk From Energy Supply Halt - BBG
- German Union Demands 9.5% Pay Rise For Lufthansa Ground Staff - RTRS
- UK Extends Trading Plan To Sell NatWest Shares By 1 Year - RTRS
- UK Signs £1Bln Deal With Moderna For New Vaccine Centre - FT
- Rolls-Royce Latest Pay Offer To Workers Rejected By British Union - RTRS
- JD Sports Annual Profit More Than Doubles - RTRS
- Safer Swiss Stocks Poised To Join Peers In Bear Market Territory - BBG
- Deutsche Bank Awaits Market Calm Before Going Long China Stocks - BBG
- Ant, Alibaba Plan For Less Intertwined Future After China Crackdown - RTRS
- Jack Ma’s Ant To Apply For Key License As Soon As This Month - BBG
- Toyota Cuts July Global Production Plan By 50,000 Vehicles - RTRS
- After 17 Months In Limbo, Australia's Crown Resorts To Take Bets In Sydney - RTRS
- China Sends Warplanes Near Taiwan After US Rejects Strait Claims - BBG
- China Vows More Pro-Growth Policies As Banks Urged To Step Up - BBG
- China Auto Industry Body Reports 55% Jump In Car Retail Sales In June 13-19 - CNA
- Universal Beijing Resort To Reopen On June 25 As Covid Cases Drop - RTRS
- Constant Cycle of Restrictions Is China’s Covid Future - BBG
- Kremlin: Response To Lithuania Over Transit Ban Won't Be Only Diplomatic - RTRS
- Saudi Crown Prince’s Visit To Turkey Marks Turning Point After Khashoggi Killing - WSJ